Esbjerg Vikings vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 23, 2023 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 1 1 18+2
- 2Jonas Jeppesen0 1 3 1 3 08
- 3Matias Nielsen3 2 3 2 2 012+2
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen3 0 2 0 38+1
- 5Luke Becker2 0 2 3 07+1
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 1 3 2 3 318
- 2Frederik Jakobsen2 1 3 3 2 1 214+4
- 3Tim Sörensend 0 F 0 22
- 4Patryk Wojdyło0 2 1 03+1
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg1 1 F 1 14+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Luke Becker · EVK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RVE0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RVE2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Luke Becker · EVK0
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2*
- Jason Doyle · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVEF
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Luke Becker · EVK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVEF
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Luke Becker · EVK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Jason Doyle · RVE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1*
- Luke Becker · EVK0
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RVE0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Jason Doyle · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| EVK | RVE | EVK | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Jakobsen | 7 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 7.5 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 7 | 17.1 | 18 | +0.9 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 5 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 8.7 | 2 | -6.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.