Region Varde Elitesport vs Team Fjelsted

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 16, 2023 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup

Results

RVE 48 : 35 TFJ
RVE
TFJ

Heat by heat

Heat 155.90 s4:2
Heat 255.40 s4:2
Heat 355.60 s5:1
Heat 455.50 s3:3
Heat 556.50 s5:1
Heat 656.50 s3:3
Heat 757.10 s0:5
Heat 856.80 s3:3
Heat 956.60 s3:3
Heat 1057.40 s3:3
Heat 1157.00 s4:2
Heat 1257.10 s5:1
Heat 1357.10 s4:2
Heat 1457.50 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
17 → 13 °C
Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Wind
12 km/h NW
gusts up to 30 km/h
Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
83 %
Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–789−1+1
8–109900
11–13135+8−8
1424−2+2
RVETFJRVETFJ

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead RVE
2468101214114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+486 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+1297 %
6+1299 %
7+795 %
8+794 %
9+794 %
10+795 %
11+997 %
12+13100 %
13+15100 %
14+13100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Nicolai Heiselberg54.78+3.3
Peter Kildemand710.012+2.0
Sam Fløe Jensen76.58+1.5
Frederik Jakobsen69.911+1.1
Patryk Wojdyło69.710+0.3
Andzejs Lebedevs714.915+0.1
Tim Sörensen58.78-0.7
Hans Andersen31.90-1.9
Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen43.00-3.0
Jason Doyle614.711-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 57.5055.40 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 25.3:24.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.54 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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