Holsted Tigers vs GSK Liga

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 16, 2023 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted

Results

HLT 41 : 42 GSK

HLT

1Rasmus Jensen1 3 2 3 3 113+1
2Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 3 d 211
3Jacob Thorssell2 0 1 2 1 28+1
4Claus Vissing2 1 d d 14+2
5Bastian Pedersen3 0 1 1 05+1

GSK

1Przemysław PawlickiR 3 3 M 2 311
2Kenneth Bjerre3 0 3 2 2 313+1
3Matej Zagar1 1 2 2 3 09+1
4Patrick Hansen1 1 3 3 0 19
5Esben Hjerrild0 0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 157.20 s3:3

Heat 257.60 s5:1

Heat 357.20 s5:1

Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
Jacob Thorssell · HLT2*
Matej Zagar · GSK1
Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0

Heat 458.10 s2:4

Heat 557.90 s3:3

Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
Claus Vissing · HLT1*
Esben Hjerrild · GSK0

Heat 658.10 s2:4

Heat 758.70 s1:5

Patrick Hansen · GSK3
Matej Zagar · GSK2*
Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
Claus Vissing · HLTd

Heat 859.00 s4:2

Heat 958.80 s3:2

Heat 1058.50 s3:3

Heat 1159.00 s1:5

Heat 1258.60 s4:2

Heat 1359.40 s2:4

Heat 1458.90 s3:3

Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
Matej Zagar · GSK0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 18 → 15 °C; Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Wind: 15 km/h NW; gusts up to 32 km/h; Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 77 %; Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	6	12	−6	+6
8–10	10	7	+3	−3
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14	3	3	0	0
	HLT	GSK	HLT	GSK

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead HLT

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+8	94 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+4	82 %
7	0	60 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+3	88 %
10	+3	84 %
11	-1	48 %
12	+1	73 %
13	-1	56 %
14	-1	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kenneth Bjerre	6	8.4	13	+4.6
Bastian Pedersen	5	3.3	5	+1.7
Rasmus Jensen	6	11.4	13	+1.6
Nicki Pedersen	6	10.9	11	+0.1
Matej Zagar	6	8.9	9	+0.1
Patrick Hansen	6	9.3	9	-0.3
Jacob Thorssell	6	9.2	8	-1.2
Claus Vissing	5	5.4	4	-1.4
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	13.6	11	-2.6
Esben Hjerrild	4	3.7	0	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.4057.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 28.0:19.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.58 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source