Region Varde Elitesport vs Holsted Tigers
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 9, 2023 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Timo Lahti1 3 0 1 2 3 313+2
- 2Rohan Tungate0 1 1 2 0 04
- 3Frederik Jakobsen2 d 3 2 2 110+3
- 4Tim Sörensen2 1 2 3 3 3 317+1
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg0 00
- 1Rasmus Jensen2 2 2 1 0 29+3
- 2Nicki Pedersen3 1 2 3 1 212+2
- 3Claus Vissing0 3 0 R 1 15+1
- 4Jacob Thorssell3 3 1 2 1 010
- 5Bastian Pedersen1 3 0 d4
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Timo Lahti · RVE1
- Rohan Tungate · RVE0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Rohan Tungate · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
- Claus Vissing · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Rohan Tungate · RVE1
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVEd
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rohan Tungate · RVE2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLTR
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1*
- Rohan Tungate · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1*
- Rohan Tungate · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 24 km/h W
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| RVE | HLT | RVE | HLT | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 7 | 10.7 | 17 | +6.3 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 12.0 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Claus Vissing | 6 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 13.5 | 9 | -4.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 9.1 | 4 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.