Holsted Tigers vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 28, 2023 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen2 3 3 1 2 213+1
- 2Nicki Pedersend 00
- 3Rene Bach2 F 0 2 d d4+1
- 4Claus Vissing2 1 3 2 3 112+2
- 5Bastian Pedersen3 1 2 2 1 0 110+1
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 3 1 316
- 2Matias Nielsen1 d 2 3 1 29+2
- 3Jonas Jeppesen1 1 2 0 3 310
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen1 2 1 2 3 09+2
- 5Jonas Knudsen0 d 1 01
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLTd
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVKd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Rene Bach · HLTF
- Claus Vissing · HLT3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT2
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1*
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Claus Vissing · HLT3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Rene Bach · HLTd
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Rene Bach · HLTd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 17 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 86 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | EVK | HLT | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.4 | 16 | +5.6 |
| Claus Vissing | 6 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 7 | 5.5 | 10 | +4.5 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 12.7 | 13 | +0.3 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 4 | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 2 | 4.3 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 9.8 | 4 | -5.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.