Holsted Tigers vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Thursday, June 15, 2023 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 3 2 3 3 1 114+1
- 2Nicki Pedersend 1 R 2 2 3 210+1
- 3Rene Bach0 1 1 3 3 210
- 4Kevin Juhl Pedersen0 0 1 2 14+2
- 5Bastian Pedersen3 0 03
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 3 3 0 2 314
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 3 3 1 011+1
- 3Jonas Seifert-Salk1 2 0 2 0 38+2
- 4Kenneth Hansen1 2 2 0 05+2
- 5William Drejer2 1 1 1 05
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLTd
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT3
- William Drejer · SSK2
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK2*
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLTR
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK2
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2*
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · HLT1*
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 18 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | SSK | HLT | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -12 | 4 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 13.4 | 14 | +0.6 |
| Kenneth Hansen | 5 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 13.7 | 14 | +0.3 |
| William Drejer | 5 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 8.6 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 5 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 7 | 15.2 | 10 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.