SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway vs GSK Liga

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 14, 2023 · Vojens Speedway Center, Vojens

Results

SES 39 : 45 GSK

SES

1Mads Hansen0 3 3 2 0 19
2Anders Thomsen3 2 2 3 1 213
3Nicolai KlindtR 1 1 1 3 06+1
4Benjamin Basso2 1 R 0 3 17+1
5Jesper Knudsen3 1 0 04+1

GSK

1Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 3 1 1 R10+1
2Kai Huckenbeck1 2 2 2 0 310+1
3Kenneth Bjerre1 0 2 3 3 312+1
4Patrick Hansen1 0 3 2 2 210+1
5Esben Hjerrild0 0 1 23+2

Heat by heat

Heat 159.60 s3:3

Heat 258.90 s5:1

Heat 358.30 s3:3

Heat 459.50 s3:3

Heat 558.00 s4:2

Heat 658.00 s3:3

Heat 759.60 s1:5

Heat 857.80 s3:3

Heat 958.10 s2:4

Heat 1059.20 s1:5

Heat 1158.60 s4:2

Heat 1259.10 s3:3

Heat 1359.30 s1:5

Heat 1459.20 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Clear; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 23 → 18 °C; Measured · Skrydstrup, 1 km away
Wind: 8 km/h SE; gusts up to 22 km/h; Measured · Skrydstrup, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 45 %; Measured · Skrydstrup, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	10	+4	−4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14	3	3	0	0
	SES	GSK	SES	GSK

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead SES

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+4	83 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+2	71 %
9	0	56 %
10	-4	22 %
11	-2	36 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kenneth Bjerre	6	7.8	12	+4.2
Patrick Hansen	6	8.0	10	+2.0
Anders Thomsen	6	12.3	13	+0.7
Mads Hansen	6	8.5	9	+0.5
Esben Hjerrild	4	2.6	3	+0.4
Benjamin Basso	6	6.8	7	+0.2
Kai Huckenbeck	6	10.0	10	+0.0
Jesper Knudsen	4	5.2	4	-1.2
Przemysław Pawlicki	6	13.1	10	-3.1
Nicolai Klindt	6	9.7	6	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.6057.80 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.3:14.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.62 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source