Slangerup Speedway vs Holsted Tigers

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 14, 2023 · Slangerup Speedway Center, Slangerup

Results

SSK 49 : 35 HLT
SSK
HLT

Heat by heat

Heat 161.40 s5:1
Heat 261.80 s5:1
Heat 361.30 s3:3
Heat 461.20 s3:3
Heat 559.50 s3:3
Heat 662.10 s3:3
Heat 763.20 s1:5
Heat 862.80 s5:1
Heat 961.80 s2:4
Heat 1062.90 s4:2
Heat 1163.60 s1:5
Heat 1262.20 s5:1
Heat 1363.40 s5:1
Heat 1462.70 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Clear → Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
23 → 21 °C
Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Wind
6 km/h NE
gusts up to 19 km/h
Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
34 %
Measured · Koebenhavn / Roskilde, 29 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7711−4+4
8–10117+4−4
11–13117+4−4
1442+2−2
SSKHLTSSKHLT

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead SSK
468101214114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+896 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+894 %
6+895 %
7+482 %
8+894 %
9+689 %
10+895 %
11+488 %
12+898 %
13+12100 %
14+14100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
William Drejer64.911+6.1
Mikkel Michelsen613.116+2.9
Jonas Seifert-Salk66.79+2.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen69.010+1.0
Bastian Pedersen32.12-0.1
Nicki Pedersen715.315-0.3
Kevin Juhl Pedersen55.85-0.8
Kenneth Hansen44.33-1.3
Rene Bach67.96-1.9
Rasmus Jensen714.97-7.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 63.6059.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 17.0:26.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −2.29 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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