Team Fjelsted vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 7, 2023 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup
Results
- 1Adam Ellis0 2 3 1 2 0 08+1
- 2Peter Kildemand1 2 0 3 1 310
- 3Hans Andersen0 1 2 3 1 18
- 4Norbert Krakowiak3 2 R 0 3 19+1
- 5Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen2 0 13+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen2 3 3 3 3 317+1
- 2Andreas Lyager3 3 M6
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 2 1 2 0 28+2
- 4Kenneth Hansen0 1 3 2 2 210+2
- 5Bastian Borke1 1 2 1 0 05
Heat by heat
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Adam Ellis · TFJ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · TFJ3
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ2*
- Bastian Borke · SSK1
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Hans Andersen · TFJ0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Norbert Krakowiak · TFJ2*
- Bastian Borke · SSK1
- Andreas Lyager · SSKM
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK1
- Norbert Krakowiak · TFJR
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Bastian Borke · SSK2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2*
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1
- Norbert Krakowiak · TFJ0
- Hans Andersen · TFJ3
- Adam Ellis · TFJ2*
- Bastian Borke · SSK1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK0
- Norbert Krakowiak · TFJ3
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Bastian Borke · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Adam Ellis · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · SSK2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Bastian Borke · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · TFJ1
- Adam Ellis · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| TFJ | SSK | TFJ | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TFJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Hansen | 6 | 5.3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 15.3 | 17 | +1.7 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Andreas Lyager | 3 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Bastian Borke | 6 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 6 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 7 | 10.3 | 8 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.