Holsted Tigers vs SES – Sønderjylland Elite Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 7, 2023 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen0 1 2 1 3 18+1
- 2Rasmus Jensen2 3 R 2 3 3 215
- 3Rene Bachd 1 01
- 4Claus Vissing1 0 0 1 1 25
- 5Bastian Pedersen0 0 1 0 1 02
- 1Mads Hansen1 2 2 2 2 312+2
- 2Anders Thomsen3 3 3 2 011
- 3Nicolai Klindt2 3 1 3 2 314+2
- 4Benjamin Basso2 1 3 2 0 19+2
- 5Jesper Knudsen3 1 R 3 07
Heat by heat
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Mads Hansen · SES1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT0
- Jesper Knudsen · SES3
- Benjamin Basso · SES2*
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Nicolai Klindt · SES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1
- Rene Bach · HLTd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Benjamin Basso · SES1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Anders Thomsen · SES3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Jesper Knudsen · SES1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Nicolai Klindt · SES3
- Mads Hansen · SES2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLTR
- Benjamin Basso · SES3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Nicolai Klindt · SES1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Anders Thomsen · SES2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Jesper Knudsen · SESR
- Nicolai Klindt · SES3
- Mads Hansen · SES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Jesper Knudsen · SES3
- Nicolai Klindt · SES2*
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Benjamin Basso · SES2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Anders Thomsen · SES0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Mads Hansen · SES2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Benjamin Basso · SES0
- Mads Hansen · SES3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2
- Benjamin Basso · SES1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Nicolai Klindt · SES3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1*
- Jesper Knudsen · SES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 10 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | SES | HLT | SES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -16 | 6 % |
| 7 | -18 | 4 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -20 | 1 % |
| 10 | -24 | 2 % |
| 11 | -22 | 1 % |
| 12 | -20 | 0 % |
| 13 | -22 | 0 % |
| 14 | -22 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 8.9 | 14 | +5.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 13.8 | 15 | +1.2 |
| Benjamin Basso | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Claus Vissing | 6 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Rene Bach | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.2 | 8 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.