GSK Liga vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 7, 2023 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 3 3 217+1
- 2Kai Huckenbeck1 0 1 3 3 311+1
- 3Kenneth Bjerre2 2 0 3 0 29+2
- 4Patrick Hansen1 2 3 2 2 313+3
- 5Esben Hjerrildr 1 2 03+1
- 1Timo Lahti0 3 3 0 1 1 08+2
- 2Frederik Jakobsen2 1 1 0 15
- 3Tim Sörensen0 0 1 12+1
- 4Michael Palm Toft3 2 2 0 2 1 111+1
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg2 0 1 2 05+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Esben Hjerrild · GSKr
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE2*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK1
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK1*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK3
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK2*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2*
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 15 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | +4 | −4 | |
| GSK | RVE | GSK | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 14.8 | 17 | +2.2 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 7 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 5 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 12.4 | 11 | -1.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 10.5 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.