Region Varde Elitesport vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 31, 2023 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Frederik Jakobsen2 2 0 1 3 311+2
- 2Timo Lahti3 3 2 3 2 316
- 3Antti Vuolas0 1 0 0 23+2
- 4Michael Palm Toft3 2 3 2 d 111
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg0 2 0 2 15+1
- 1Jonas JeppesenR 1 0 0 d1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen1 3 1 2 3 212
- 3Matias Nielsen1 3 1 3 3 011+1
- 4Jonas Knudsen2 0 2 1 1 06
- 5Emil Breum Ankersen1 3 1 1 28+2
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVKR
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE3
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Antti Vuolas · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Antti Vuolas · RVE1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE3
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Antti Vuolas · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Antti Vuolas · RVE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1
- Michael Palm Toft · RVEd
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Antti Vuolas · RVE2*
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVKd
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 34 km/h NW
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| RVE | EVK | RVE | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.1 | 16 | +5.9 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 6 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 5 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 12.2 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Antti Vuolas | 5 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 8.5 | 1 | -7.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.