Holsted Tigers vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 31, 2023 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 3 1 2 3 313+2
- 2Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 3 2 215+1
- 3Rene Bach2 2 2 3 2 112+4
- 4Claus Vissing3 2 1 3 3 214+2
- 5Bastian Pedersend d 0 00
- 1Peter Kildemand2 3 1 3 1 0 313
- 2Hans Andersen0 1 3 2 2 1 09
- 3Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen0 0 00
- 4Sam Fløe Jensend 1 0 0 1 13
- 5Thomas Jorgensend 0 1 1 02+2
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Hans Andersen · TFJ0
- Claus Vissing · HLT3
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJd
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJd
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- Bastian Pedersen · HLTd
- Hans Andersen · TFJ3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Claus Vissing · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Claus Vissing · HLT3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · TFJ1
- Thomas Jorgensen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Rene Bach · HLT1*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 34 km/h NW
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 7 | +7 | −7 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | TFJ | HLT | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +5 | 89 % |
| 3 | +9 | 98 % |
| 4 | +7 | 93 % |
| 5 | +7 | 94 % |
| 6 | +11 | 99 % |
| 7 | +11 | 99 % |
| 8 | +11 | 98 % |
| 9 | +15 | 100 % |
| 10 | +15 | 100 % |
| 11 | +19 | 100 % |
| 12 | +23 | 100 % |
| 13 | +27 | 100 % |
| 14 | +27 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claus Vissing | 6 | 7.0 | 14 | +7.0 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 7 | 11.3 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 14.6 | 15 | +0.4 |
| Hans Andersen | 7 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 14.1 | 13 | -1.1 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 5 | 6.9 | 2 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.