GSK Liga vs Holsted Tigers
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 24, 2023 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki3 3 3 3 1 114
- 2Kenneth Bjerre1 0 3 1 3 311
- 3Kai Huckenbeck0 1 2 3 3 312+1
- 4Patrick Hansen3 1 3 0 2 09+1
- 5Rune Thorst1 1 0 02
- 1Rasmus Jensen0 3 2 2 2 0 09+1
- 2Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 3 0 2 213
- 3Rene Bach1 0 1 1 2 27+2
- 4Claus Vissing2 2 0 1 16+2
- 5Patrick Bæk0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Patrick Bæk · HLT0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Rene Bach · HLT1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Claus Vissing · HLT2*
- Rune Thorst · GSK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Patrick Bæk · HLT0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK1
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Rene Bach · HLT1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Patrick Bæk · HLT1*
- Rune Thorst · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2*
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Kai Huckenbeck · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK1
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 13 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| GSK | HLT | GSK | HLT | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Claus Vissing | 5 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 7 | 14.3 | 13 | -1.3 |
| Rune Thorst | 4 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Patrick Bæk | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 13.3 | 9 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.