Team Fjelsted vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 24, 2023 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup
Results
- 1Adam Ellis3 1 d 1 3 19+2
- 2Andzejs Lebedevs1 2 0 3 2 311
- 3Peter Kildemand2 3 2 2 0 09+1
- 4Hans Andersen1 2 3 2 1 211+1
- 5Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen3 0 1 15
- 1Frederik Jakobsen0 3 2 3 3 1 315+1
- 2Timo Lahti2 3 3 2 3 R 215+1
- 3Michael Palm Toft0 1 1 0 d 13+1
- 4Norick Blödorn0 1 d 2 03
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg2 1 03
Heat by heat
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ1
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE0
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Norick Blödorn · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1*
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE0
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ2
- Norick Blödorn · RVE1
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Adam Ellis · TFJd
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ0
- Hans Andersen · TFJ3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2*
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE1
- Norick Blödorn · RVEd
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1*
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen · TFJ1
- Michael Palm Toft · RVEd
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ2
- Hans Andersen · TFJ1
- Timo Lahti · RVER
- Adam Ellis · TFJ3
- Norick Blödorn · RVE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1*
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · TFJ3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2*
- Michael Palm Toft · RVE1
- Norick Blödorn · RVE0
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2*
- Adam Ellis · TFJ1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| TFJ | RVE | TFJ | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TFJ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Jakobsen | 7 | 11.0 | 15 | +4.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 7 | 11.4 | 15 | +3.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen | 4 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 13.4 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.3 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 6 | 8.3 | 3 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.