Esbjerg Vikings vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 17, 2023 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Jonas Jeppesen1 1 3 1 2 19+2
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 2 3 0 313
- 3Matias Nielsen3 1 d 2 3 09+1
- 4Jonas Knudsen1 0 1 35
- 5Emil Breum Ankersen3 1 2 3 1 010+2
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki0 2 3 3 2 1 112+1
- 2Kenneth Bjerre3 2 1 2 1 1 212+3
- 3Francis Gusts0 0 0 3 36
- 4Patrick Hansen0 R 2 0 24+1
- 5Esben Hjerrild2 2 0 04
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK2
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSKR
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1*
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVKd
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Francis Gusts · GSK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Jonas Knudsen · EVK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Francis Gusts · GSK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 7 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h NW
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| EVK | GSK | EVK | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 6 | 6.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 4 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 7 | 13.2 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 7 | 16.2 | 12 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.