Holsted Tigers vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 17, 2023 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen2 3 27+2
- 2Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 312
- 3Claus Vissing0 1 d1
- 4Rene Bach2 3 27
- 5Bastian Pedersen1 0 12+1
- 1Frederik Jakobsen1 2 25
- 2Grzegorz ZengotaR 1 1 d2+1
- 3Tim Sörensen2 0 1 d3
- 4Timo Lahti3 1 3 29+1
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg0 00
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVER
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE1*
- Claus Vissing · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1*
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Claus Vissing · HLT1
- Tim Sörensen · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Claus Vissing · HLTd
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Bastian Pedersen · HLT1
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVEd
- Tim Sörensen · RVEd
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 7 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h NW
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–9 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HLT | RVE | HLT | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Rene Bach | 3 | 4.8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Timo Lahti | 4 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 3 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Claus Vissing | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 7.4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 6.8 | 2 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.