Region Varde Elitesport vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 10, 2023 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Frederik Jakobsen3 2 1 0 06
- 2Grzegorz Zengota0 3 0 3 1 18+1
- 3Timo Lahti0 1 3 2 2 08
- 4Tim Sörensen2 2 1 3 3 2 114
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg0 1 0 01
- 1Mikkel Michelsen1 2 2 1 3 312+3
- 2Andreas Lyager2 3 3 1 2 213+2
- 3Jonas Seifert-Salk1 3 2 2 1 312
- 4Kenneth Hansen3 0 0 14
- 5Bastian Borke1 R 2 3 0 06
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1*
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE0
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Bastian Borke · SSK1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Bastian Borke · SSKR
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2*
- Timo Lahti · RVE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE3
- Bastian Borke · SSK2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE0
- Bastian Borke · SSK3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE1
- Bastian Borke · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK1
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE1*
- Bastian Borke · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Fog
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 10 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 97 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| RVE | SSK | RVE | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 7 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Bastian Borke | 6 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Kenneth Hansen | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 14.9 | 12 | -2.9 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 4 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.