Region Varde Elitesport vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, April 19, 2023 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Timo Lahti3 1 1 1 2 210+2
- 2Grzegorz Zengota1 2 3 3 1 313+1
- 3Frederik Jakobsen3 1 1 2 3 212+1
- 4Tim Sörensen2 3 2 3 2 113+1
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg1 1 0 02+2
- 1Kenneth Bjerre0 3 2 3 2 R 010
- 2Przemysław Pawlicki2 d M 2 3 3 313
- 3Francis Gusts2 0 0 0 d2
- 4Patrick Hansen0 0 11
- 5Esben Hjerrild3 2 1 1 0 18+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Francis Gusts · GSK2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSKd
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSKM
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE1*
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK2
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK1*
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE1*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK0
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSKR
- Grzegorz Zengota · RVE3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2*
- Esben Hjerrild · GSK1
- Francis Gusts · GSKd
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GSK3
- Frederik Jakobsen · RVE2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 7 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h NE
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| RVE | GSK | RVE | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 8.3 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 6 | 4.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 12.1 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 7 | 13.5 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Patrick Hansen | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 5.9 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 7 | 14.0 | 10 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.