Holsted Tigers vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, April 27, 2022 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 1 3 2 3 314+1
- 2Rene Bach1 2 3 1 0 29
- 3Rasmus Jensen1 3 2 3 1 111+2
- 4Lasse Bjerre0 1 1 3 2 18+1
- 5Marius Nielsen0 2 d NS2+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 3 3 2 d16
- 2Andreas Lyager3 0 1 2 0 1 29+1
- 3Jonas Seifert-Salk0 2 3 0 F 38
- 4Kenneth Hansen2 0 NS2+1
- 5Silas Neergaard Hoegh1 0 0 S1+1
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Andreas Lyager · SSK3
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK2*
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK2
- Silas Neergaard Hoegh · SSK1*
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT1*
- Kenneth Hansen · SSK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Marius Nielsen · HLT2*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Silas Neergaard Hoegh · SSK0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT1
- Silas Neergaard Hoegh · SSK0
- Kenneth Hansen · SSKNS
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK0
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT3
- Marius Nielsen · HLTd
- Silas Neergaard Hoegh · SSKS
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2
- Marius Nielsen · HLTNS
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSKF
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1*
- Rene Bach · HLT0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · SSK3
- Rene Bach · HLT2
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSKd
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 8 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 5 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HLT | SSK | HLT | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.8 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Rene Bach | 6 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 7 | 15.7 | 16 | +0.3 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Kenneth Hansen | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Andreas Lyager | 7 | 11.3 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Marius Nielsen | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Silas Neergaard Hoegh | 4 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.