GSK Liga vs Esbjerg Vikings
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, April 27, 2022 · Grindsted Speedway Center, Grindsted
Results
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 3 1 3 3 215+1
- 2Patrick Hansen3 1 2 0 0 39+1
- 3Francis Gusts1 1 0 3 2 18+2
- 4Kevin Juhl Pedersen0 2 2 3 1 19
- 5Emil Poertnerd 3 1 04
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 3 2 1 010+2
- 2Matias Nielsen2 0 1 2 2 29
- 3Jonas Jeppesen0 3 3 1 3 313+1
- 4Esben Hjerrild1 1 0 2 1 05+1
- 5Emil Breum Ankersen2 0 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Francis Gusts · GSK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2*
- Francis Gusts · GSK1
- Emil Poertner · GSKd
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK2
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Emil Poertner · GSK3
- Patrick Hansen · GSK2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1*
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK0
- Francis Gusts · GSK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK3
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK2
- Emil Poertner · GSK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK1
- Emil Poertner · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Francis Gusts · GSK2*
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK1
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Francis Gusts · GSK1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Billund Lufthavn, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| GSK | EVK | GSK | EVK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GSK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Francis Gusts | 6 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 6 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 13.3 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 11.8 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Emil Poertner | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 6 | 7.6 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 4 | 5.4 | 2 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.