Team Fjelsted vs Holsted Tigers

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, September 7, 2022 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup

Results

TFJ 29 : 55 HLT

TFJ

1Peter Kildemand3 2 1 3 2 213
2Kasper Andersen1 0 1 2 0 04
3Robert Chmiel0 3 1 0 2 06+1
4Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen0 0 0 1 01+1
5Bastian Pedersen1 0 2 1 15

HLT

1Rasmus Jensen1 3 3 3 313+1
2Lasse Bjerre2 1 2 1 1 310+2
3Jacob Thorssell2 2 3 3 2 315+1
4Victor Palovaara3 2 2 3 0 212+3
5Marius Nielsen0 3 0 1 15

Heat by heat

Heat 158.50 s3:3

Heat 259.50 s1:5

Heat 360.10 s4:2

Heat 459.90 s2:4

Heat 560.10 s1:5

Heat 660.10 s1:5

Heat 760.00 s1:5

Heat 860.10 s2:4

Heat 960.10 s3:3

Heat 1060.10 s1:5

Heat 1160.20 s5:1

Heat 1260.10 s2:4

Heat 1360.20 s1:5

Heat 1460.10 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Showers → Drizzle; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15 °C; Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Wind: 18 km/h E; gusts up to 39 km/h; Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 94 %; Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	3	15	−12	+12
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14	2	4	−2	+2
	TFJ	HLT	TFJ	HLT

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TFJ

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-4	37 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-8	18 %
6	-12	7 %
7	-16	4 %
8	-18	1 %
9	-18	1 %
10	-22	2 %
11	-18	1 %
12	-20	0 %
13	-24	0 %
14	-26	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Jacob Thorssell	6	11.9	15	+3.1
Peter Kildemand	6	10.1	13	+2.9
Robert Chmiel	6	5.4	6	+0.6
Marius Nielsen	5	4.6	5	+0.4
Rasmus Jensen	5	12.7	13	+0.3
Bastian Pedersen	5	5.2	5	-0.2
Lasse Bjerre	6	11.1	10	-1.1
Victor Palovaara	6	13.2	12	-1.2
Kasper Andersen	6	6.0	4	-2.0
Rasmus Møhlenberg Pedersen	5	3.9	1	-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.2058.50 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 25.3:18.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.92 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source