Esbjerg Vikings vs Slangerup Speedway
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 17, 2022 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Matias Nielsen2 3 1 3 1 010+2
- 2Jonas Jeppesen1 1 2 2 0 39+2
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 1 3 2 113+2
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen3 2 2 2 R 110+1
- 5Sam Fløe Jensen0 3 3 28
- 1Mikkel Michelsen1 2 3 3 3 3 318
- 2Andreas Lyager0 0 1 1 2 2 28+2
- 3Patryk Rolnicki0 1 0 12+1
- 4William Drejer2 0 0 1 03
- 5Nicklas Porsing2 0 R 1 03
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Matias Nielsen · EVK2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK1
- Patryk Rolnicki · SSK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- William Drejer · SSK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Nicklas Porsing · SSK2
- Patryk Rolnicki · SSK1*
- Sam Fløe Jensen · EVK0
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Andreas Lyager · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1*
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Sam Fløe Jensen · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Nicklas Porsing · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1*
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2*
- Andreas Lyager · SSK1
- Patryk Rolnicki · SSK0
- Sam Fløe Jensen · EVK3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2*
- William Drejer · SSK1
- Nicklas Porsing · SSKR
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Sam Fløe Jensen · EVK2
- Patryk Rolnicki · SSK1
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVKR
- Matias Nielsen · EVK3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK2*
- Nicklas Porsing · SSK1
- William Drejer · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Matias Nielsen · EVK1
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Nicklas Porsing · SSK0
- Mikkel Michelsen · SSK3
- Andreas Lyager · SSK2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · EVK1
- Matias Nielsen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 1 | 5 | −4 | +4 | |
| EVK | SSK | EVK | SSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Fløe Jensen | 4 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.7 | 13 | +1.3 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 7 | 17.0 | 18 | +1.0 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 4 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| William Drejer | 5 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Nicklas Porsing | 5 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Andreas Lyager | 7 | 12.3 | 8 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.