Holsted Tigers vs Region Varde Elitesport
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 17, 2022 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen1 1 3 3 3 3 317
- 2Jacob Thorssell2 2 2 1 1 1 09+1
- 3Thomas Jorgensen0 3 1 d4
- 4Marius Nielsen0 0 2 0 0 02
- 5Tobias V. Thomsen0 0 1 12
- 1Timo Lahti3 3 2 3 0 112+1
- 2Nick Morris3 d 1 3 29
- 3Tim Sörensen2 2 3 2 2 213+3
- 4Antti Vuolas1 2 0 1 1 27+3
- 5Nicolai Heiselberg1 F 3 2 39+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT0
- Nick Morris · RVE3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Antti Vuolas · RVE1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE1*
- Tobias V. Thomsen · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Nick Morris · RVEd
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Antti Vuolas · RVE2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2*
- Nick Morris · RVE1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVEF
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Antti Vuolas · RVE0
- Nick Morris · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLTd
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE3
- Marius Nielsen · HLT2
- Antti Vuolas · RVE1
- Tobias V. Thomsen · HLT0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Tobias V. Thomsen · HLT1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE2
- Antti Vuolas · RVE1*
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Nick Morris · RVE2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Timo Lahti · RVE0
- Nicolai Heiselberg · RVE3
- Antti Vuolas · RVE2*
- Tobias V. Thomsen · HLT1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2
- Timo Lahti · RVE1*
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 19 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | RVE | HLT | RVE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -12 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 7.0 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Nick Morris | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 7 | 17.5 | 17 | -0.5 |
| Antti Vuolas | 6 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 7 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Tobias V. Thomsen | 4 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Marius Nielsen | 6 | 6.2 | 2 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.