Holsted Tigers vs Team Fjelsted
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 10, 2022 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Rasmus Jensen3 1 2 3 3 214
- 2Jacob Thorssell2 3 3 3 1 113+1
- 3Lasse Bjerre1 d 2 2 38+1
- 4Thomas Jorgensen1 1 1 2 1 06+3
- 5Marius Nielsend 1 0 1 02+1
- 1Frederik Jakobsen2 0 3 3 2 313
- 2Peter Kildemand3 2 2 1 0 210+1
- 3Hans Andersen0 3 3 2 2 010+1
- 4Kasper Andersen0 0 0 3 1 15
- 5Stian Vithen Nielsen2 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT1
- Hans Andersen · TFJ0
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ3
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT2
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT1*
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ0
- Hans Andersen · TFJ3
- Stian Vithen Nielsen · TFJ2
- Lasse Bjerre · HLTd
- Marius Nielsen · HLTd
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ0
- Hans Andersen · TFJ3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT1*
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Marius Nielsen · HLT1
- Stian Vithen Nielsen · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT1*
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ0
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ1*
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ3
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT2
- Marius Nielsen · HLT1*
- Stian Vithen Nielsen · TFJ0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Hans Andersen · TFJ2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2*
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ1
- Stian Vithen Nielsen · TFJ0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ0
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT3
- Peter Kildemand · TFJ2
- Kasper Andersen · TFJ1
- Thomas Jorgensen · HLT0
- Frederik Jakobsen · TFJ3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Jacob Thorssell · HLT1*
- Hans Andersen · TFJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 17 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 12 | −1 | +1 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| HLT | TFJ | HLT | TFJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -3 | 47 % |
| 4 | -1 | 62 % |
| 5 | -1 | 64 % |
| 6 | +1 | 74 % |
| 7 | +1 | 70 % |
| 8 | +1 | 71 % |
| 9 | +1 | 73 % |
| 10 | -3 | 36 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +3 | 91 % |
| 14 | +3 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Kasper Andersen | 6 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 14.5 | 14 | -0.5 |
| Stian Vithen Nielsen | 4 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Marius Nielsen | 5 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 6 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.