Esbjerg Vikings vs Region Varde Elitesport

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, August 10, 2022 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg

Results

EVK 52 : 32 RVE
EVK
RVE

Heat by heat

Heat 156.80 s4:2
Heat 257.00 s5:1
Heat 35.50 s3:3
Heat 45.10 s5:1
Heat 557.20 s5:1
Heat 656.90 s5:1
Heat 756.40 s3:3
Heat 856.90 s3:3
Heat 957.50 s1:5
Heat 1057.10 s3:3
Heat 1157.30 s3:3
Heat 1257.60 s4:2
Heat 1357.40 s5:1
Heat 1457.60 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
21 → 17 °C
Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Wind
9 km/h NW
gusts up to 20 km/h
Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
72 %
Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4177+10−10
5–7135+8−8
8–10711−4+4
11–13126+6−6
143300
EVKRVEEVKRVE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead EVK
5101520114
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+689 %
3+690 %
4+1098 %
5+14100 %
6+1899 %
7+18100 %
8+18100 %
9+14100 %
10+1499 %
11+14100 %
12+16100 %
13+20100 %
14+20100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Niels Kristian Iversen610.515+4.5
Matias Nielsen68.812+3.2
Jonas Jeppesen610.112+1.9
Emil Breum Ankersen67.79+1.3
Keynan Rew56.46-0.4
Sam Fløe Jensen44.94-0.9
Nicolai Heiselberg44.13-1.1
Nick Morris610.29-1.2
Tim Sörensen67.45-2.4
Oskar Fajfer713.89-4.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 57.605.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 21.7:29.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −2.18 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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