Region Varde Elitesport vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, April 20, 2022 · Varde Motor Arena, Outrup
Results
- 1Timo Lahti3 2 1 2 3 314+2
- 2Nick Morris2 3 2 3 2 315+1
- 3Tim Sörensen2 3 2 2 3 113+3
- 4Keynan Rew0 3 0 3 2 210+1
- 5Michael Thyme0 0 d 00
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 1 3 2 3 1 213+1
- 2Patrick Hansen3 0 1 3 0 0 07
- 3Krystian Pieszczek0 2 0 1 1 15
- 4Kevin Juhl Pedersen1 1 2 1 05
- 5Emil Poertner1 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GSK0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Nick Morris · RVE2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK1
- Keynan Rew · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · GSK2
- Emil Poertner · GSK1*
- Michael Thyme · RVE0
- Nick Morris · RVE3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Keynan Rew · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK1
- Krystian Pieszczek · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Nick Morris · RVE2
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Michael Thyme · RVE0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2*
- Timo Lahti · RVE1
- Keynan Rew · RVE0
- Nick Morris · RVE3
- Tim Sörensen · RVE2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Keynan Rew · RVE3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK2
- Emil Poertner · GSK1
- Michael Thyme · RVEd
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Keynan Rew · RVE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · GSK1
- Michael Thyme · RVE0
- Tim Sörensen · RVE3
- Timo Lahti · RVE2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK1
- Emil Poertner · GSK0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Nick Morris · RVE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Nick Morris · RVE3
- Keynan Rew · RVE2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · GSK1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · GSK0
- Timo Lahti · RVE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Tim Sörensen · RVE1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 10 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 25 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| RVE | GSK | RVE | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RVE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Sörensen | 6 | 4.6 | 13 | +8.4 |
| Nick Morris | 6 | 8.1 | 15 | +6.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 6 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Timo Lahti | 6 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 7 | 13.7 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 5 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Emil Poertner | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Michael Thyme | 4 | 4.8 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 6 | 10.6 | 5 | -5.6 |
| Patrick Hansen | 7 | 13.0 | 7 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.