Team Fjelsted vs Esbjerg Vikings

Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, July 13, 2022 · Fjelsted Speedway Center, Harndrup

Results

TFJ 40 : 44 EVK

TFJ

1Frederik Jakobsen3 1 1 2 2 2 112+4
2Patryk Wojdyło0 2 0 d2
3Peter Kildemand1 2 2 3 3 011
4Kasper Andersen1 1 2 3 2 211+1
5Stian Vithen Nielsen0 2 1 0 14+1

EVK

1Grzegorz Zengota2 0 3 3 1 312
2Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 0 3 214+1
3Jonas Jeppesen0 3 3 1 1 08
4Claus Vissing2 0 0 2 0 37+1
5Chris Wænnerstrøm1 1 0 13

Heat by heat

Heat 155.90 s4:2

Heat 258.00 s1:5

Heat 357.70 s2:4

Heat 457.90 s3:3

Heat 558.50 s3:3

Heat 659.13 s2:4

Heat 758.30 s3:3

Heat 858.60 s5:1

Heat 959.50 s4:2

Heat 1058.10 s2:4

Heat 1159.80 s5:1

Heat 1260.00 s2:4

Heat 1359.40 s3:3

Heat 1458.70 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 13–25 °C; Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Wind: 19 km/h W; gusts up to 50 km/h; Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 59 %; Measured · Odense / Beldringe, 20 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	10	8	+2	−2
14	1	5	−4	+4
	TFJ	EVK	TFJ	EVK

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TFJ

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-6	24 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-2	48 %
9	0	56 %
10	-2	36 %
11	+2	68 %
12	0	57 %
13	0	56 %
14	-4	8 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Kasper Andersen	6	5.9	11	+5.1
Niels Kristian Iversen	6	12.0	14	+2.0
Peter Kildemand	6	9.1	11	+1.9
Grzegorz Zengota	6	10.4	12	+1.6
Claus Vissing	6	6.5	7	+0.5
Frederik Jakobsen	7	13.7	12	-1.7
Chris Wænnerstrøm	4	4.9	3	-1.9
Stian Vithen Nielsen	5	6.4	4	-2.4
Patryk Wojdyło	4	4.5	2	-2.5
Jonas Jeppesen	6	10.6	8	-2.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.0055.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 36.7:13.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.41 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source