Holsted Tigers vs GSK Liga
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, June 1, 2022 · Moldow Speedway Arena, Holsted
Results
- 1Nicki PedersenR 3 3 2 311
- 2Rasmus Jensen2 2 3 3 2 315+3
- 3Lasse Bjerre3 1 2 0 R 28+1
- 4Michael Palm Toft3 3 1 3 1 112
- 5Marius Nielsen0 2 1 0 03+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 1 2 1 3 R 210+1
- 2Patrick Hansend 0 1 3 1 38
- 3Francis Gusts2 3 1 0 2 2 010+1
- 4Emil Poertner1 0 2 1 15
- 5Lukas Fienhage2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT3
- Francis Gusts · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLTR
- Michael Palm Toft · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Emil Poertner · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSKd
- Francis Gusts · GSK3
- Lukas Fienhage · GSK2*
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1
- Patrick Hansen · GSK0
- Michael Palm Toft · HLT3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2*
- Francis Gusts · GSK1
- Emil Poertner · GSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Marius Nielsen · HLT2*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Lukas Fienhage · GSK0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Michael Palm Toft · HLT1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Francis Gusts · GSK2
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK1*
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT0
- Michael Palm Toft · HLT3
- Emil Poertner · GSK2
- Marius Nielsen · HLT1
- Lukas Fienhage · GSK0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK3
- Francis Gusts · GSK2*
- Michael Palm Toft · HLT1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Emil Poertner · GSK1
- Lasse Bjerre · HLTR
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2*
- Patrick Hansen · GSK1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSKR
- Patrick Hansen · GSK3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2
- Emil Poertner · GSK1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GSK2
- Michael Palm Toft · HLT1
- Francis Gusts · GSK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 11 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 23 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | +2 | −2 | |
| HLT | GSK | HLT | GSK | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HLT
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 13.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| Francis Gusts | 7 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Emil Poertner | 5 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 6 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Patrick Hansen | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Marius Nielsen | 5 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 7 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.