Esbjerg Vikings vs Holsted Tigers
Metal Speedway Ligaen · Wednesday, May 4, 2022 · Granly Speedway Arena, Esbjerg
Results
- 1Jonas Jeppesen1 2 1 3 2 1 313
- 2Tai Woffinden2 0 3 2 0 3 313
- 3Kevin Wolbert0 2 02
- 4Emil Breum Ankersen1 1 1 3 2 1 09+2
- 5Esben Hjerrild0 0 0 00
- 1Rasmus Jensen3 1 2 3 2 213
- 2Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 1 d 110+1
- 3Rene Bach2 3 3 3 1 113+2
- 4Lasse Bjerre0 2 0 2 3 29+1
- 5Marius Nielsen1 0 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Rene Bach · HLT2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Kevin Wolbert · EVK0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Tai Woffinden · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1*
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Kevin Wolbert · EVK2
- Marius Nielsen · HLT1
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK0
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT1
- Tai Woffinden · EVK0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Kevin Wolbert · EVK0
- Tai Woffinden · EVK3
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT0
- Rene Bach · HLT3
- Tai Woffinden · EVK2
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK0
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2
- Marius Nielsen · HLT1*
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK0
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT3
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK2
- Rene Bach · HLT1
- Tai Woffinden · EVK0
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT3
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK2
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK1*
- Marius Nielsen · HLT0
- Tai Woffinden · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK1
- Nicki Pedersen · HLTd
- Jonas Jeppesen · EVK3
- Lasse Bjerre · HLT2
- Nicki Pedersen · HLT1*
- Esben Hjerrild · EVK0
- Tai Woffinden · EVK3
- Rasmus Jensen · HLT2
- Rene Bach · HLT1*
- Emil Breum Ankersen · EVK0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 7 °C
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Esbjerg, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| EVK | HLT | EVK | HLT | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead EVK
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Bach | 6 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 6 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 6 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Emil Breum Ankersen | 7 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 7 | 11.4 | 13 | +1.6 |
| Tai Woffinden | 7 | 14.1 | 13 | -1.1 |
| Kevin Wolbert | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Marius Nielsen | 4 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 13.9 | 10 | -3.9 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 4 | 4.3 | 0 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.