LEI vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 30, 2026 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Ryan Douglas2 2 3 2 312+1
- 2Dan Thompson3 R 1 3 07+1
- 3Nick Morris2 F 3 0 38
- 5Sam Masters1 2 3 R 06+2
- 6Drew Kemp0 3 3 1 2 110+1
- 7Joe Thompson3 2 1 17
- 1Tom Brennan1 1 0 13+1
- 2Danny King0 2 2 15
- 3Richard Lawson1 1 1 3 17+2
- 4Scott Nicholls3 0 2 05
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 3 213
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen2 0 0 2 26+1
- 7Jason Edwards1 0 FD1+1
Heat by heat
- Dan Thompson · LEI3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2*
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · LEIR
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1*
- Nick Morris · LEIF
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Dan Thompson · LEI1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
- Dan Thompson · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Jason Edwards · IPWFD
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1*
- Dan Thompson · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Richard Lawson · IPW3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW2*
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1*
- Sam Masters · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 16 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LEI | IPW | LEI | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 3.6 | 7 | +3.4 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 5 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Nick Morris | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Drew Kemp | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 8.5 | 7 | -1.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.