BVA vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Friday, October 16, 2026 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 3 28+1
- 2Norick Blödorn3 2 3 2 010+2
- 3Nicolai Klindt2 3 3 311+1
- 4Zach Cook3 2 1 3 110+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 2 311
- 6Tate Zischke1 0 1 1 R3+1
- 7William Cairns0 0 00
- 1Max Fricke1 0 3 0 26+2
- 2Anders Rowe2 1 2 05
- 3Chris Holder1 2 1 26
- 4Leon Flint0 0 22
- 5Joshua Pickering1 1 2 1 38+1
- 6Jye Etheridge2 0 0 13+2
- 7Luke Killeen3 2 1 0 17+2
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Max Fricke · SHE1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Luke Killeen · SHE3
- Jye Etheridge · SHE2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Nicolai Klindt · BVA2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Luke Killeen · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Nicolai Klindt · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Max Fricke · SHE0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Luke Killeen · SHE1*
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Nicolai Klindt · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Max Fricke · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · BVA2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1*
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Nicolai Klindt · BVA3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Jye Etheridge · SHE1*
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Max Fricke · SHE0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Leon Flint · SHE2
- Luke Killeen · SHE1*
- Tate Zischke · BVAR
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Max Fricke · SHE2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 5 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BVA | SHE | BVA | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Luke Killeen | 5 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Zach Cook | 5 | 7.5 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Jye Etheridge | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Leon Flint | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
| William Cairns | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Tate Zischke | 5 | 6.8 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.3 | 6 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.