LEI vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, October 1, 2026 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Ryan Douglas1 3 2 3 2 213+1
- 2Drew Kemp2 1 3 17+1
- 3Sam Masters1 3 1 3 19+1
- 5Nick Morris2 2 3 2 1 111+4
- 6Paco Castagna2 1 03+1
- 7Joe Thompson3 3 2 3 1 214+1
- 1Max Fricke3 1 3 3 313
- 2Anders Rowe0 0 1 12
- 3Chris Holder2 2 XO 26
- 4Leon FlintR 0 2 35
- 5Joshua Pickering0 3 2 0 05
- 6Jye Etheridge0 0 00
- 7Luke Killeen1 1 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · SHE3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1*
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Paco Castagna · LEI2*
- Luke Killeen · SHE1
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Leon Flint · SHER
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Nick Morris · LEI2*
- Luke Killeen · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Nick Morris · LEI2*
- Max Fricke · SHE1
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Paco Castagna · LEI1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2*
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Leon Flint · SHE2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Chris Holder · SHEXO
- Max Fricke · SHE3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Paco Castagna · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Max Fricke · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Leon Flint · SHE3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Luke Killeen · SHE0
- Max Fricke · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Max Fricke · SHE4
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Nick Morris · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEI | SHE | LEI | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Thompson | 6 | 6.1 | 14 | +7.9 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Nick Morris | 6 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Paco Castagna | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Leon Flint | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 14.2 | 13 | -1.2 |
| Luke Killeen | 5 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Jye Etheridge | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 9.4 | 5 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.