BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 28, 2026 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 1 310
- 2Norick Blödorn2 1 3 39+1
- 3Peter Kildemand1 3 2 2 08+1
- 4Zach Cook0 2 3 1 17+2
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 3 211+1
- 6Tate Zischke3 1 1 27
- 7William Cairns2 2 1 16+3
- 1Richard LawsonR 1 2 03
- 2Scott NichollsN2 0 0 00
- 3Danny King2 2 0 3 29+2
- 4Tom Brennan3 0 2 3 311
- 5Tobiasz Musielak1 2 1 15
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen1 0 0 01
- 7Jason Edwards1 0 0 2 03
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · IPWR
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- William Cairns · BVA2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Peter Kildemand · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- William Cairns · BVA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Peter Kildemand · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2
- William Cairns · BVA1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · IPW2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2
- William Cairns · BVA1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · BVA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Peter Kildemand · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 11 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.7 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| William Cairns | 4 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Danny King | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Zach Cook | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Jason Edwards | 5 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 4 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Scott Nicholls | 3 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.