IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 21, 2026 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Richard Lawson3 R R 03
- 2Scott Nicholls2 1 2 16+1
- 3Danny King3 2 3 19
- 4Tom Brennan1 0 2 3 R6+1
- 5Tobiasz Musielak2 3 1 1 310
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen1 0 0 23+1
- 7Jason Edwards0 0 1 01+1
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 3 29+1
- 2Norick Blödorn0 1 3 26+1
- 3Peter Kildemand2 2 3 3 111+1
- 4Zach Cook0 1 2 14+2
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 1 310
- 6Tate Zischke2 2 0 2 28+3
- 7William Cairns3 1 0 04
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · IPW3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- William Cairns · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- William Cairns · BVA1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · IPWR
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Jason Doyle · BVA1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Peter Kildemand · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · IPWR
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Peter Kildemand · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2
- Peter Kildemand · BVA1*
- Tom Brennan · IPWR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 19 → 14 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h S
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 3 | 15 | −12 | +12 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -18 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Tate Zischke | 5 | 6.7 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 4 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.9 | 10 | +0.1 |
| William Cairns | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 7.1 | 4 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.