LEI vs IPW

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 14, 2026 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester

Results

LEI 42 : 48 IPW
LEI
IPW

Heat by heat

Heat 162.09 s3:3
Heat 264.45 s2:4
Heat 363.46 s5:1
Heat 462.74 s1:5
Heat 563.06 s3:3
Heat 662.26 s3:3
Heat 764.52 s3:3
Heat 863.61 s1:5
Heat 963.24 s3:3
Heat 1063.37 s3:3
Heat 1162.62 s3:3
Heat 1263.96 s4:2
Heat 1362.92 s2:4
Heat 1463.78 s4:2
Heat 1562.90 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy → Clear
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
22 → 18 °C
Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Wind
10 km/h SW
gusts up to 30 km/h
Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.1 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
77 %
Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41113−2+2
5–79900
8–10711−4+4
11–139900
14–156600
LEIIPWLEIIPW

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LEI
-6-4-202115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2-254 %
3+277 %
4-246 %
5-247 %
6-248 %
7-246 %
8-616 %
9-620 %
10-615 %
11-612 %
12-420 %
13-64 %
14-48 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Tobiasz Musielak510.314+3.7
Jason Edwards43.97+3.1
Richard Lawson56.09+3.0
Dan Thompson46.49+2.6
Kevin Juhl Pedersen42.64+1.4
Ryan Douglas615.116+0.9
Tom Brennan46.47+0.6
Sam Masters57.48+0.6
Scott Nicholls46.25-1.2
Justin Sedgmen44.23-1.2
Joe Thompson78.46-2.4
Drew Kemp44.90-4.9
Danny King48.32-6.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 64.5262.09 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.3:25.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +3.00 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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