IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 10, 2026 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Richard Lawson2 2 1 1 06
- 2Scott Nicholls1 1 3 R5+2
- 3Danny King1 2 1 26+1
- 4Tom Brennan2 1 3 28+1
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 0 110
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen2 0 0 02
- 7Jason Edwards1 1 2 04+2
- 1Brady Kurtz0 3 2 38
- 2Norick Blödorn3 R R 14+1
- 3Peter Kildemand3 1 3 1 210+2
- 4Zach Cook0 2 2 15+1
- 5Jason Doyle2 3 2 29+1
- 6Tate Zischke3 0 0 3 3 312
- 7Sam Hagon0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · IPW2
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- Sam Hagon · BVA0
- Peter Kildemand · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Sam Hagon · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVAR
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · IPW2
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Peter Kildemand · BVA1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Sam Hagon · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVAR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · BVA2
- Danny King · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Peter Kildemand · BVA3
- Zach Cook · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPWR
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Peter Kildemand · BVA1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.2 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Zischke | 6 | 7.6 | 12 | +4.4 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 4 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Sam Hagon | 3 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.