LEI vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 7, 2026 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Ryan Douglas3 3 3 2 314
- 2Drew Kemp2 0 2 26+2
- 3Sam Masters3 0 2 16+1
- 4Dan Thompson2 2 1 16+2
- 5Nick Morris2 2 2 1 29+2
- 6Jordan Jenkins0 1 1 02+2
- 7Joe Thompson2 1 1 26+2
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 3 3 0 111
- 2Norick Blödorn0 1 3 04
- 3Peter KildemandR 3 1 04
- 4Zach Cook1 0 0 34
- 5Jason Doyle3 2 3 3 R11
- 6Tate Zischke3 1 0 26+2
- 7William Cairns1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Tate Zischke · BVA3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2
- William Cairns · BVA1
- Jordan Jenkins · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Peter Kildemand · BVAR
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · BVA2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Peter Kildemand · BVA3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Jordan Jenkins · LEI1*
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Dan Thompson · LEI1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Peter Kildemand · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Jordan Jenkins · LEI1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2
- Sam Masters · LEI1*
- Peter Kildemand · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Tate Zischke · BVA2*
- Dan Thompson · LEI1
- Jordan Jenkins · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Nick Morris · LEI2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Jason Doyle · BVAR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LEI | BVA | LEI | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Nick Morris | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Jordan Jenkins | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| William Cairns | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 13.3 | 11 | -2.3 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 6.9 | 4 | -2.9 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 7.6 | 4 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.