IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 20, 2026 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Richard Lawson1 1 1 14+1
- 2Adam Ellis3 3 2 210+1
- 3Danny King2 2 2 39+2
- 4Tom Brennan3 0 3 3 09
- 5Tobiasz Musielak0 3 2 3 210
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen1 0 01
- 7Jason EdwardsR 1 3 1 27+1
- 1Ryan DouglasR 1 3 3 2 312
- 2Drew Kemp2 3 1 1 F7
- 4Anders Rowe1 2 0 14
- 5Sam Masters2 2 1 R 16+1
- 6Lewis Kerr3 R R R3
- 7Joe Thompson2 3 1 R 2 R8+2
Heat by heat
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Ryan Douglas · LEIR
- Lewis Kerr · LEI3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPWR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Anders Rowe · LEI1
- Lewis Kerr · LEIR
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Lewis Kerr · LEIR
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Anders Rowe · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Jason Edwards · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEIR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Lewis Kerr · LEIR
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1*
- Anders Rowe · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Drew Kemp · LEIF
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · IPW1
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Anders Rowe · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEIR
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 19 → 13 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.4 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Jason Edwards | 5 | 4.6 | 7 | +2.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Joe Thompson | 6 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Danny King | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 13.4 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.