IPW vs NOR

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 6, 2026 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich

Results

IPW 47 : 42 NOR

IPW

2Scott Nicholls2 R2+1
3Danny King1 2 3 3 2 213
4Tom Brennan3 1 2 1 29+2
5Tobiasz Musielak3 2 2 2 3 113+1
6Kevin Juhl Pedersen2 1 0 1 0 04+2
7Jason Edwards3 1 2 0 06+1

NOR

1Niels Kristian Iversen0 3 1 R4
3Nicolai Klindt0 0 0 2 35+1
4Adam Ellis2 3 3 3 3 3 320
5Jaimon Lidsey1 3 2 1 2 09
6Mitchell McDiarmid1 FD 0 12
7Luke Harrison0 0 1 12

Heat by heat

Heat 158.10 s5:1

Heat 258.90 s5:1

Heat 358.00 s4:2

Tom Brennan · IPW3
Adam Ellis · NOR2
Danny King · IPW1
Nicolai Klindt · NOR0

Heat 457.60 s3:3

Heat 558.40 s3:3

Heat 657.90 s3:2

Heat 757.80 s3:3

Heat 858.20 s2:4

Heat 959.00 s5:1

Danny King · IPW3
Tom Brennan · IPW2*
Jaimon Lidsey · NOR1
Mitchell McDiarmid · NOR0

Heat 1058.60 s1:5

Heat 1158.70 s2:4

Heat 1259.00 s2:4

Heat 1358.50 s4:2

Heat 1458.60 s2:4

Heat 1558.40 s3:3

Adam Ellis · NOR3
Danny King · IPW2
Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1*
Jaimon Lidsey · NOR0

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Cloudy → Clear; Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Temperature: 19 → 14 °C; Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Wind: 8 km/h N; gusts up to 27 km/h; Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Humidity: 50 %; Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	17	7	+10	−10
5–7	9	8	+1	−1
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	IPW	NOR	IPW	NOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead IPW

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+8	96 %
3	+10	98 %
4	+10	98 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+11	99 %
7	+11	99 %
8	+9	98 %
9	+13	100 %
10	+9	96 %
11	+7	95 %
12	+5	92 %
13	+7	98 %
14	+5	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Adam Ellis	7	10.5	20	+9.5
Tobiasz Musielak	6	11.2	13	+1.8
Tom Brennan	5	7.3	9	+1.7
Danny King	6	11.7	13	+1.3
Jason Edwards	5	5.3	6	+0.7
Scott Nicholls	2	2.8	2	-0.8
Jaimon Lidsey	6	9.9	9	-0.9
Luke Harrison	4	3.8	2	-1.8
Kevin Juhl Pedersen	6	6.3	4	-2.3
Niels Kristian Iversen	4	6.6	4	-2.6
Mitchell McDiarmid	4	4.7	2	-2.7
Nicolai Klindt	5	9.9	5	-4.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.0057.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 27.3:29.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.07 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source