LEI vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 23, 2026 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Ryan Douglas0 3 3 3 3 214
- 2Dan Thompson1 2 1 15+1
- 3Nick MorrisFD 0 2 24+1
- 4Kyle Howarth1 1 1 25+2
- 5Sam Masters2 3 1 1 07
- 6Drew Kemp3 1 0 37
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 34
- 1Brady Kurtz2 3 3 2 313+1
- 2Norick Blödorn3 2 2 3 2 113+2
- 3Peter Kildemand2 2 2 06+1
- 4Zach Cook3 0 0 0 03
- 5Jason Doyle1 FD1
- 6Tate ZischkeF 1 0 12
- 7William Cairns2 3 0 16
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Dan Thompson · LEI1
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- William Cairns · BVA2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Tate Zischke · BVAF
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Nick Morris · LEIFD
- William Cairns · BVA3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Jason Doyle · BVA1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Jason Doyle · BVAFD
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Dan Thompson · LEI1
- William Cairns · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Peter Kildemand · BVA2
- Dan Thompson · LEI1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Nick Morris · LEI2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Peter Kildemand · BVA0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2*
- William Cairns · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Sam Masters · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 17 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LEI | BVA | LEI | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 6 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 11.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| William Cairns | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 7.5 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Nick Morris | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 2 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
| Zach Cook | 5 | 8.6 | 3 | -5.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.