IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 9, 2026 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Tom Brennan2 1 2 1 06+1
- 3Michael Palm Toft0 0 1 12+1
- 4Scott Nicholls3 2 3 2 2 012
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 2 1 112
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen0 1 1 13+3
- 7Jason Edwards2 2 0 3 07+1
- 1Ryan Douglas1 3 3 2 2 314+2
- 3Nick Morris1 01+1
- 4Dan ThompsonR 2 3 2 310
- 5Sam MastersR 2 3 3 210+1
- 6Drew Kemp3 1 R 3 R F 310
- 7Joe Thompson1 1 1 0 03
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Dan Thompson · LEIR
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Michael Palm Toft · IPW0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Sam Masters · LEIR
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Michael Palm Toft · IPW0
- Scott Nicholls · IPW3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Drew Kemp · LEIR
- Dan Thompson · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1*
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Michael Palm Toft · IPW1*
- Drew Kemp · LEIR
- Jason Edwards · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1*
- Drew Kemp · LEIF
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2*
- Michael Palm Toft · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Dan Thompson · LEI3
- Scott Nicholls · IPW2
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 20 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h SE
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Nicholls | 6 | 8.2 | 12 | +3.8 |
| Jason Edwards | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Drew Kemp | 7 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Nick Morris | 2 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Joe Thompson | 5 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.