LEI vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, July 6, 2026 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Joshua Pickering1 2 3 2 19+1
- 3Sam Masters3 3 2 2 212+2
- 4Dan Thompson0 2 0 3 27+2
- 5Nick MorrisFD 3 3 0 17+1
- 6Drew Kemp3 1 2 2 2 313+3
- 7Joe Thompson1 1 2 37+1
- 1Tom Brennan3 2 3 0 08
- 3Freddy Hodder0 0 1 01
- 4Scott Nicholls1 1 1 R 03+1
- 5Tobiasz Musielak2 2 3 1 1 3 315+2
- 6Kevin Juhl Pedersen2 0 1 0 1 15
- 7Jason Edwards0 3 03
Heat by heat
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2*
- Joshua Pickering · LEI1
- Dan Thompson · LEI0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1
- Freddy Hodder · IPW0
- Jason Edwards · IPW3
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW2*
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Nick Morris · LEIFD
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1*
- Dan Thompson · LEI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Scott Nicholls · IPW1
- Freddy Hodder · IPW0
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Joe Thompson · LEI2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Dan Thompson · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW0
- Joshua Pickering · LEI3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2*
- Freddy Hodder · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPWR
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW1
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Joe Thompson · LEI3
- Sam Masters · LEI2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1
- Freddy Hodder · IPW0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2*
- Kevin Juhl Pedersen · IPW1
- Scott Nicholls · IPW0
- Tobiasz Musielak · IPW3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joshua Pickering · LEI1*
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LEI | IPW | LEI | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Kemp | 6 | 7.8 | 13 | +5.2 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 7 | 14.1 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Kevin Juhl Pedersen | 6 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Nick Morris | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Freddy Hodder | 4 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 8.1 | 3 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.