LEI vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 22, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke2 2 3 2 312+1
- 2Luke Becker3 1 2 F6+1
- 3Ryan Douglas1 1 3 3 08
- 4Kyle Howarth3 3 1 29
- 5Sam Masters2 1 3 06
- 6Drew Kemp1 3 1 1 06
- 7Joe Thompson0 F 00
- 1Jack Holder1 2 2 3 210
- 2Leon Flint0 0 00
- 3Chris Holder2 0 2 04
- 4Maciej Janowski0 2 1 36+1
- 5Joshua Pickering1 3 2 1 18+1
- 6Anders Rowe3 3 1 0 2 110
- 7Jye Etheridge2 R5 0 35+1
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Anders Rowe · SHE3
- Jye Etheridge · SHE2*
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Maciej Janowski · SHE0
- Anders Rowe · SHE3
- Sam Masters · LEI2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Joe Thompson · LEIF
- Kyle Howarth · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Ryan Douglas · LEI1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Luke Becker · LEI1*
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Maciej Janowski · SHE2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Jye Etheridge · SHE3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Maciej Janowski · SHE1*
- Luke Becker · LEIF
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Leon Flint · SHE0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Sam Masters · LEI0
- Maciej Janowski · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Ryan Douglas · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 11 → 7 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LEI | SHE | LEI | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.3 | 9 | +4.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Jye Etheridge | 3 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Anders Rowe | 6 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Leon Flint | 3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.