IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 11, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinowr 1 2 14+2
- 2Danny King2 2 3 310
- 3Jason Doyle2 3 3 311
- 4Dan Thompson1 2 2 2 310+3
- 5Tom Brennan2 2 3 3 212+2
- 6Adam Ellis3 3 1 f rs7+1
- 7Jason Edwards2 rs 0 2 15+3
- 1Brady Kurtz1 0 1 24+1
- 2Norick Blödorn3 1 1 2 07+1
- 3Jaimon Lidseyfd 3 1 15
- 4Zach Cook3 fd 0 3 17
- 5Dan Bewley0 3 1 04
- 6Tate Zischke1 1 0 0 rs 02
- 7Jake Mulford0 rs 2 0 rs2
Heat by heat
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPWr
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVAfd
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Zach Cook · BVAfd
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Adam Ellis · IPWf
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Zach Cook · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h SW
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.4 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 5.3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Jake Mulford | 3 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Zach Cook | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Tate Zischke | 5 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.6 | 4 | -3.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.