BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 8, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz3 3 2 3 112
- 2Norick BlödornR 0 3 03
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 2 1 25+2
- 4Zach Cook3 3 2 311
- 5Dan Bewley3 3 3 1 313
- 6Tate Zischke1 0 1 0 02
- 7Jake Mulford0 2 02+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 1 2 2 06+1
- 2Danny King2 0 0 13+1
- 3Jason Doyle1 2 3 3 211+1
- 4Dan Thompson2 0 1 25
- 5Tom Brennan2 2 3 07
- 6Adam Ellis3 1 0 1 16+2
- 7Jason Edwards2 1 14+2
Heat by heat
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVAR
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2*
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1*
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · IPW0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h S
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.3 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.0 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Jake Mulford | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Tate Zischke | 5 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.