IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 4, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 2 2 110+1
- 2Danny King0 0 3 36
- 3Jason Doyle2 3 2 3 R10
- 4Dan Thompson1 0 1 02+2
- 5Tom Brennan3 1 3 18+1
- 6Adam Ellis2 0 0 35
- 7Jason Edwards1 0 1 02+1
- 1Jack Holder3 1 1 3 311+2
- 2Leon Flint1 2 2 27
- 3Chris Holder0 2 1 25+1
- 4Nick Morris3 3 R 17+1
- 5Joshua Pickering2 2 3 R 29+1
- 6Anders Rowe3 1 1 1 28+3
- 7Jye EtheridgeF 0 R0
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Leon Flint · SHE1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Anders Rowe · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- Jye Etheridge · SHEF
- Nick Morris · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Leon Flint · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1*
- Danny King · IPW0
- Nick Morris · SHE3
- Chris Holder · SHE2*
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Leon Flint · SHE2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Jye Etheridge · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Jye Etheridge · SHER
- Danny King · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Nick Morris · SHER
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Leon Flint · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Chris Holder · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1*
- Joshua Pickering · SHER
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Anders Rowe · SHE2
- Nick Morris · SHE1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Jason Doyle · IPWR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 17 → 11 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Flint | 4 | 3.8 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Nick Morris | 4 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Anders Rowe | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.7 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 4 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Jye Etheridge | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.