LEI vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 18, 2025 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke3 3 3 3 214+1
- 2Luke Becker0 0 2 13
- 3Ryan Douglas3 2 3 3 314
- 4Kyle Howarth1 XO 0 23
- 5Sam Masters3 3 3 110
- 6Drew Kemp2 1 0 03
- 7Joe Thompson1 1 0 02+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 1 R6+1
- 2Adam Ellis1 1 13+1
- 3Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 2 2 1 09
- 4Danny King0 0 00
- 5Tom Brennan2 1 2 2 18+1
- 6Dan Thompson3 2 1 2 1 312+2
- 7Jason EdwardsFD 0 33
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1*
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1*
- Jason Edwards · IPWFD
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Kyle Howarth · LEI1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · LEI1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Ryan Douglas · LEI2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · LEIXO
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1*
- Luke Becker · LEI0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Jason Edwards · IPW3
- Luke Becker · LEI2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Kyle Howarth · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Luke Becker · LEI1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Sam Masters · LEI3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Joe Thompson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Sam Masters · LEI1
- Jason Doyle · IPWR
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · LEI2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Ryan Douglas · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h NE
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 79 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LEI | IPW | LEI | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Thompson | 6 | 6.6 | 12 | +5.4 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 8.9 | 14 | +5.1 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Sam Masters | 4 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Danny King | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 13.4 | 9 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.