IPW vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 14, 2025 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 1 3 3 312+2
- 2Adam Ellis3 2 2 2 211+2
- 3Danny King3 E 3 17
- 4Tom Brennan1 2 2 38+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 2 210+1
- 6Dan Thompson2 FD R2
- 7Jason Edwards0 1 1 0 0 02+1
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 3 3 010
- 2Norick Blödorn0 1 R 12
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 2 1 2 FD7+1
- 4Zach Cook0 1 0 23+1
- 5Dan Bewley2 3 1 1 18
- 6Tate Zischke1 FD 01
- 7Jake Mulford3 0 3 17+1
Heat by heat
- Adam Ellis · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Jake Mulford · BVA3
- Dan Thompson · IPW2
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Dan Thompson · IPWFD
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVAFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Dan Thompson · IPWR
- Jake Mulford · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVAR
- Danny King · IPW3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA1
- Zach Cook · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVAFD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Rain
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IPW | BVA | IPW | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 5.9 | 11 | +5.1 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 2.2 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Danny King | 3 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Tate Zischke | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Dan Thompson | 3 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Zach Cook | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 11.2 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Jason Edwards | 6 | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.