BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 4, 2025 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Brady Kurtz1 2 3 3 1 111
- 2Norick Blödorn0 0 0 3 14
- 4Zach Cook2 3 1 3 312+1
- 5Dan Bewley2 2 2 3 3 315+1
- 6Tate Zischke1 0 0 01
- 7Jake Mulford0 0 2 02+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 1 0 05+2
- 2Danny King3 1 1 27+1
- 3Adam Ellis1 0 0 23
- 4Tom Brennan3 1 2 28
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 2 211
- 6Dan Thompson3 3 0 1 18+2
- 7Jason Edwards2 1 03+1
Heat by heat
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · IPW2*
- Tate Zischke · BVA1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · IPW3
- Zach Cook · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · IPW1
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · IPW1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Dan Thompson · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Tom Brennan · IPW1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Jake Mulford · BVA2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Zach Cook · BVA1*
- Dan Thompson · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Adam Ellis · IPW0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Adam Ellis · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Jason Doyle · IPW0
- Zach Cook · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · IPW2
- Dan Thompson · IPW1*
- Tate Zischke · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Jason Doyle · IPW0
- Dan Bewley · BVA4
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h W
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.9 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–16 | 11 | 10 | +1 | −1 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 7 | 12.4 | 18 | +5.6 |
| Zach Cook | 5 | 7.3 | 12 | +4.7 |
| Dan Thompson | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Tate Zischke | 4 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 7 | 14.7 | 11 | -3.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.1 | 6 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.